全部主张 / 早期文本与保存链
司马迁在两千多年前完成《史记》
判定边界
双方证据链未闭合（本轮），不是双方等真，也不是给视频主张背书。
视频原话摘要
史记2000多年前司马迁就写完了
- 领域
- classical_history
- 涉及对象
- 司马迁；《史记》
- 声称年代
- 两千多年前
- 话语角色
- 作者主张
证据连接
来源记录
SRCREF:R005-HMAIN-F1:SRC-SHiji-CTEXTSRCREF:R005-HMAIN-F1:SRC-SHiji-KAOWSRCREF:R005-HMAIN-F1:SRC-SHiji-LOCSRCREF:R005-HVIDEO-F1:SRC-F1-03SRCREF:R005-HVIDEO-F1:SRC-F1-04
待解问题
报告锚点：S05.1 · 研究 lane：F1_TEXTS_PRESERVATION
双轨条件矩阵
H_VIDEO 与 H_MAIN 独立列出必要条件、正向预测、反证条件、替代机制、形成链和协调伪造规模。
| 模型 | 条件类型 | 条件 | 评估 | 关联证据 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| H_VIDEO | necessary_condition | 需要把司马迁活动年代、成书/编纂完成与现存传本区分；“写完”应指编纂完成而非现存手稿 | underdetermined | |
| H_VIDEO | positive_prediction | 学术史与目录记录把《史记》成书置于西汉并归于司马迁；后世有连续传承见证 | underdetermined | |
| H_VIDEO | disconfirmer | 可靠年代证据把成书推到更晚；无可解析的司马迁—文本传承链 | underdetermined | |
| H_VIDEO | alternative_mechanism | 后世编纂或署名；多代史料汇编后被统一归名 | underdetermined | |
| H_VIDEO | formation_chain | 司马迁活动与编纂年代→《史记》早期传承/引用→近现代校勘本 | underdetermined | |
| H_VIDEO | fabrication_or_coordination_scope | not_required_by_claim_logic | not_applicable_by_claim_logic | |
| H_MAINSTREAM | necessary_condition | Sima Qian is the historical author/compiler; a Shiji form was completed more than 2,000 years before present; composition date must be separated from later witnesses. | input_limited | |
| H_MAINSTREAM | positive_prediction | Biographical/chronological records converge on a date near 91 BCE and the witness chain shows copying after composition. | input_limited | |
| H_MAINSTREAM | disconfirmer | Date refers only to a later copy; no source supports exact completion; textual strata contradict a single completion. | input_limited | |
| H_MAINSTREAM | alternative_mechanism | Gradual composition; editorial completion after the author's death; rounded transmission claim. | input_limited | |
| H_MAINSTREAM | formation_chain | FC-C09 | input_limited | |
| H_MAINSTREAM | fabrication_or_coordination_scope | not_recorded_in_frozen_condition_ledger | input_limited |
推理桥梁
H_VIDEOotherunderdetermined
成书年代成立不等于内容逐条准确；现存见证不是司马迁原稿
H_MAINSTREAMotherinput_limited
Author lifetime is not composition completion; composition date is not historical accuracy.
审计字段与说明
- 终态方法
- dual_track_evidence
- 音频核验
- two_asr_surface_agreement
- 研究备注
- 冻结命题与矩阵终态逐 ID 对齐；非事实 lane 不转写为历史胜负。