全部主张 / 早期文本与保存链
秦简与汉简已经大量出土
判定边界
双方证据链未闭合（本轮），不是双方等真，也不是给视频主张背书。
视频原话摘要
秦简汉简出土多少了
- 领域
- archaeology
- 涉及对象
- 秦简；汉简
- 声称年代
- 秦代；汉代
- 话语角色
- 作者主张
双轨条件矩阵
H_VIDEO 与 H_MAIN 独立列出必要条件、正向预测、反证条件、替代机制、形成链和协调伪造规模。
| 模型 | 条件类型 | 条件 | 评估 | 关联证据 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| H_VIDEO | necessary_condition | 需要对象级出土记录、数量口径、年代与材料可复核；“多少”不能把单一遗址当全国总量 | underdetermined | |
| H_VIDEO | positive_prediction | 李耶一号井等记录有三万八千余枚秦简、文字二十万字以上；记录包含行政与社会资料 | underdetermined | |
| H_VIDEO | disconfirmer | 数量是宣传/展览口径或重复计数；对象年代并非秦汉；没有出土或保管记录 | underdetermined | |
| H_VIDEO | alternative_mechanism | 把一个大型遗址或馆藏概括为“秦简汉简出土多少” | underdetermined | |
| H_VIDEO | formation_chain | 发掘层位与批次→馆藏/展览记录→简牍数量、文字量与年代 | underdetermined | |
| H_VIDEO | fabrication_or_coordination_scope | not_required_by_claim_logic | not_applicable_by_claim_logic | |
| H_MAINSTREAM | necessary_condition | An identified Qin/Han bamboo-slip corpus must have excavation context, material/dating evidence and an authentication status. | input_limited | |
| H_MAINSTREAM | positive_prediction | Object catalogues/excavation reports give site, layer, inventory and script/date for substantial finds. | input_limited | |
| H_MAINSTREAM | disconfirmer | Purchased collection without excavation; mixed assemblage; authentication dispute. | input_limited | |
| H_MAINSTREAM | alternative_mechanism | Unprovenanced purchase; conflation of Liye with Yuelu; later restoration treated as original. | input_limited | |
| H_MAINSTREAM | formation_chain | FC-C11 | input_limited | |
| H_MAINSTREAM | fabrication_or_coordination_scope | not_recorded_in_frozen_condition_ledger | input_limited |
推理桥梁
H_VIDEOotherunderdetermined
秦汉简存在只支持物证存在，不直接支持《史记》准确性
H_MAINSTREAMotherinput_limited
Existence of securely excavated Qin slips is not authentication of every collection.
审计字段与说明
- 终态方法
- dual_track_evidence
- 音频核验
- two_asr_surface_agreement
- 研究备注
- 冻结命题与矩阵终态逐 ID 对齐；非事实 lane 不转写为历史胜负。