全部主张 / 《永乐大典》、科学与侵华时间线
利玛窦在1582年来到中国
判定边界
双方证据链未闭合（本轮），不是双方等真，也不是给视频主张背书。
视频原话摘要
1582年利玛窦来华
- 领域
- contact_history
- 涉及对象
- 利玛窦；中国
- 声称年代
- 1582
- 话语角色
- 作者主张
证据连接
来源记录
SRCREF:R005-HMAIN-F3:SRC-BRILL-RICCISRCREF:R005-HMAIN-F3:SRC-MACAU-RICCISRCREF:R005-HMAIN-F3:SRC-MACTUTOR-RICCISRCREF:R005-HVIDEO-F3:S011SRCREF:R005-HVIDEO-F3:S012
待解问题
报告锚点：S05.3 · 研究 lane：F3_YONGLE_SCIENCE_INVASION
双轨条件矩阵
H_VIDEO 与 H_MAIN 独立列出必要条件、正向预测、反证条件、替代机制、形成链和协调伪造规模。
| 模型 | 条件类型 | 条件 | 评估 | 关联证据 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| H_VIDEO | necessary_condition | 需区分抵达澳门、进入中国内地与长期居留日期 | input_limited | |
| H_VIDEO | positive_prediction | Ricci biography or specialist record dates China arrival to 1582/1583 | input_limited | |
| H_VIDEO | disconfirmer | 权威年表给出不同年份且明确针对同一事件 | input_limited | |
| H_VIDEO | alternative_mechanism | Macao entry and China residence may be counted differently | input_limited | |
| H_VIDEO | formation_chain | European Jesuit route→Macao 1582→Chinese mission and court contacts | input_limited | |
| H_VIDEO | fabrication_or_coordination_scope | not_required_by_claim_logic | not_applicable_by_claim_logic | |
| H_MAINSTREAM | necessary_condition | arrival claim needs a date and location in a primary or specialist biographical record | input_limited | |
| H_MAINSTREAM | positive_prediction | Macao/biographical sources date Ricci's arrival to 1582 and distinguish Macao from later mainland residence | input_limited | |
| H_MAINSTREAM | disconfirmer | a source that dates only his later Beijing arrival would not support the 1582 Macao claim | input_limited | |
| H_MAINSTREAM | alternative_mechanism | independent chronology, local development and intermediary transmission can explain the scientific record without the proposed model | input_limited | |
| H_MAINSTREAM | formation_chain | Jesuit voyage→Macao 1582→Chinese study→mainland residences→Beijing 1601 | input_limited | |
| H_MAINSTREAM | fabrication_or_coordination_scope | not_required_by_claim_logic | not_applicable_by_claim_logic |
推理桥梁
H_VIDEOotherinput_limited
arrival is prerequisite for Ricci-China contact but not for Newton access
H_MAINSTREAMotherinput_limited
Ricci's later China activity is not evidence that he accessed a Yongle volume or caused Newtonian science
审计字段与说明
- 终态方法
- dual_track_evidence
- 音频核验
- two_asr_surface_agreement
- 研究备注
- 冻结命题与矩阵终态逐 ID 对齐；非事实 lane 不转写为历史胜负。