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1860年圆明园事件导致部分《永乐大典》流失

当前输入不足以比较R005-SEG005-C1405:00-05:59
判定边界

双方证据链未闭合(本轮),不是双方等真,也不是给视频主张背书。

视频原话摘要

部分永乐大典流失
领域
encyclopedia_history
涉及对象
《永乐大典》;圆明园
声称年代
1860
话语角色
作者主张

证据连接

来源记录

待解问题

报告锚点:S05.3 · 研究 lane:F3_YONGLE_SCIENCE_INVASION

双轨条件矩阵

H_VIDEO 与 H_MAIN 独立列出必要条件、正向预测、反证条件、替代机制、形成链和协调伪造规模。

模型条件类型条件评估关联证据
H_VIDEOnecessary_condition需有 named Yongle volume, pre-1860 custody, Yuanmingyuan/Hanlin location and post-event custodyinput_limited
H_VIDEOpositive_predictionobject-level provenance connects a surviving volume to Yuanmingyuan and 1860 removalinput_limited
H_VIDEOdisconfirmercatalogues place loss mainly in official/library pilfering, 1900 fire, or later dispersal without 1860 Yuanmingyuan objectinput_limited
H_VIDEOalternative_mechanism1860 looting may explain some cultural loss generally; 19th-century pilfering and 1900 fire are alternativesinput_limited
H_VIDEOformation_chainYongle duplicate→imperial/Hanlin custody→1860 event→named volume→later accessioninput_limited
H_VIDEOfabrication_or_coordination_scopenot_required_by_claim_logicnot_applicable_by_claim_logic
H_MAINSTREAMnecessary_conditiona specific Yongle witness must have an object identifier, custody before 1860, Yuanmingyuan location and post-1860 routeinput_limited
H_MAINSTREAMpositive_predictiona positive model predicts a catalogue/provenance chain from Yuanmingyuan to a named surviving volumeinput_limited
H_MAINSTREAMdisconfirmerHelliwell instead places documented European removals mainly at the 1900 Hanlin destruction and notes incomplete provenance; no retrieved source links a named Yongle volume to Yuanmingyuaninput_limited
H_MAINSTREAMalternative_mechanismordinary compilation, copying and later dispersal can explain the object record without an external transmission modelinput_limited
H_MAINSTREAMformation_chaingeneral late-Qing depletion and palace/library dispersal→1860 event→possible but unproven object lossinput_limited
H_MAINSTREAMfabrication_or_coordination_scopenot_required_by_claim_logicnot_applicable_by_claim_logic

推理桥梁

审计字段与说明
终态方法
dual_track_evidence
音频核验
two_asr_surface_agreement
研究备注
冻结命题与矩阵终态逐 ID 对齐;非事实 lane 不转写为历史胜负。