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证据档案西方伪史论研究里程碑
首页主张专题来源待解问题多源整合方法R009 扩展R042 更新R043 共同核验

全部主张 / 人物身份、伽利略与文化对应

锦衣卫抱着明朝小皇子一路逃到英国

当前输入不足以比较R005-SEG006-C1506:00-06:59
偏支持未分高下偏反对当前输入不足以比较
该主张在“支持 / 未定 / 反对”上的当前位置,不是概率,是本轮证据规则下的比较终态。
判定边界

双方证据链未闭合(本轮),不是双方等真,也不是给视频主张背书。

用户档位:未映射

当日视频这一批命题的台账里没有“证据方向”和“证据强度”两列,而用户档位正是由这两列推出来的。两条轴之间不存在函数关系,硬套就是发明数据,所以本站不给这一批命题标档位。

要给它一个档位,需要按同一套规则对它独立重判:写出正向证据、反证、已查检索面和判定稳度。这条动作还没有做。

另两批命题为什么有档位、这套档位怎么定的,见方法与边界。

视频原话摘要

锦衣卫抱着小皇子一路逃到英国
领域
identity
涉及对象
锦衣卫;明朝皇子;英国
声称年代
1644前后
话语角色
转述支持者

证据连接

来源记录

SRCREF:R005-HMAIN-F6:S-MING-TRANSITIONSRCREF:R005-HMAIN-F6:S-NP-LIFESRCREF:R005-HMAIN-F6:S-WASHINGTON-LOCSRCREF:R005-HVIDEO-F6:SRC-F6-008SRCREF:R005-HVIDEO-F6:SRC-F6-009

待解问题

RESREF:R005-HMAIN-F6:R-F6-006RESREF:R005-HVIDEO-F6:F6-RES-006

报告锚点:S05.6 · 研究专题线:F6_IDENTITY_GALILEO_CULTURE

双轨条件矩阵

H_VIDEO 与 H_MAIN 独立列出必要条件、正向预测、反证条件、替代机制、形成链和协调伪造规模。

模型条件类型条件评估关联证据
H_VIDEOnecessary_conditionA named Ming prince, custody by Jinyiwei, and a continuous route to England after 1644 must be documentedinput_limited
SRCREF:R005-HVIDEO-F6:SRC-F6-008SRCREF:R005-HVIDEO-F6:SRC-F6-009RESREF:R005-HVIDEO-F6:F6-RES-006
H_VIDEOpositive_predictionTravel, custody, port, diplomatic, or genealogy records should connect the same person to Englandinput_limited
SRCREF:R005-HVIDEO-F6:SRC-F6-008SRCREF:R005-HVIDEO-F6:SRC-F6-009RESREF:R005-HVIDEO-F6:F6-RES-006
H_VIDEOdisconfirmerA dated fate record or alternate custody route for the princes would block the proposed England routeinput_limited
SRCREF:R005-HVIDEO-F6:SRC-F6-008SRCREF:R005-HVIDEO-F6:SRC-F6-009RESREF:R005-HVIDEO-F6:F6-RES-006
H_VIDEOalternative_mechanismSurvival legend; anonymous refugee story; later genealogical inventioninput_limited
SRCREF:R005-HVIDEO-F6:SRC-F6-008SRCREF:R005-HVIDEO-F6:SRC-F6-009RESREF:R005-HVIDEO-F6:F6-RES-006
H_VIDEOformation_chainMing court crisis -> custody/escape -> sea route -> Englandinput_limited
SRCREF:R005-HVIDEO-F6:SRC-F6-008SRCREF:R005-HVIDEO-F6:SRC-F6-009RESREF:R005-HVIDEO-F6:F6-RES-006
H_VIDEOfabrication_or_coordination_scopenot_required_by_claim_logicnot_applicable_by_claim_logic
SRCREF:R005-HVIDEO-F6:SRC-F6-008SRCREF:R005-HVIDEO-F6:SRC-F6-009RESREF:R005-HVIDEO-F6:F6-RES-006
H_MAINSTREAMnecessary_conditionA Jinyiwei escort and route to England require named participants, travel records and a chain of custody.input_limited
SRCREF:R005-HMAIN-F6:S-MING-TRANSITIONSRCREF:R005-HMAIN-F6:S-NP-LIFESRCREF:R005-HMAIN-F6:S-WASHINGTON-LOCRESREF:R005-HMAIN-F6:R-F6-006
H_MAINSTREAMpositive_predictionA supported model predicts a dated escape narrative, port/ship or diplomatic records and English witnesses.input_limited
SRCREF:R005-HMAIN-F6:S-MING-TRANSITIONSRCREF:R005-HMAIN-F6:S-NP-LIFESRCREF:R005-HMAIN-F6:S-WASHINGTON-LOCRESREF:R005-HMAIN-F6:R-F6-006
H_MAINSTREAMdisconfirmerAn authenticated Ming and English record placing the named prince elsewhere would disconfirm the route.input_limited
SRCREF:R005-HMAIN-F6:S-MING-TRANSITIONSRCREF:R005-HMAIN-F6:S-NP-LIFESRCREF:R005-HMAIN-F6:S-WASHINGTON-LOCRESREF:R005-HMAIN-F6:R-F6-006
H_MAINSTREAMalternative_mechanismLegendary survival stories or retrospective royal genealogy can explain the narrative.input_limited
SRCREF:R005-HMAIN-F6:S-MING-TRANSITIONSRCREF:R005-HMAIN-F6:S-NP-LIFESRCREF:R005-HMAIN-F6:S-WASHINGTON-LOCRESREF:R005-HMAIN-F6:R-F6-006
H_MAINSTREAMformation_chainescort -> escape from China -> maritime route -> English custody -> descendant/identity record.input_limited
SRCREF:R005-HMAIN-F6:S-MING-TRANSITIONSRCREF:R005-HMAIN-F6:S-NP-LIFESRCREF:R005-HMAIN-F6:S-WASHINGTON-LOCRESREF:R005-HMAIN-F6:R-F6-006
H_MAINSTREAMfabrication_or_coordination_scopenot_required_by_claim_logicnot_applicable_by_claim_logic
SRCREF:R005-HMAIN-F6:S-MING-TRANSITIONSRCREF:R005-HMAIN-F6:S-NP-LIFESRCREF:R005-HMAIN-F6:S-WASHINGTON-LOCRESREF:R005-HMAIN-F6:R-F6-006

推理桥梁

H_VIDEOotherinput_limited

The route requires person-level continuity, not merely that Qing entered in 1644

SRCREF:R005-HVIDEO-F6:SRC-F6-008SRCREF:R005-HVIDEO-F6:SRC-F6-009RESREF:R005-HVIDEO-F6:F6-RES-006
H_MAINSTREAMotherinput_limited

name similarity cannot substitute for route, custody and record continuity.

SRCREF:R005-HMAIN-F6:S-MING-TRANSITIONSRCREF:R005-HMAIN-F6:S-NP-LIFESRCREF:R005-HMAIN-F6:S-WASHINGTON-LOCRESREF:R005-HMAIN-F6:R-F6-006
审计字段与说明
终态方法
dual_track_evidence
音频核验
two_asr_surface_agreement
研究备注
冻结命题与矩阵终态逐 ID 对齐;非事实 lane 不转写为历史胜负。

页面由冻结台账机械生成 · 生成时间 2026-08-26T03:15:00Z · 数据源 commit 95da0f3adca4d5ef22e99bc216f695b83aa47d6f · 构建清单与源文件校验和

R005 基础台账 + R009 扩展 + R042 已核验更新 · 结论仅覆盖当前冻结输入,不把“未定”解释为“双方等真”。