全部主张 / 航海、天文与测量
郑和宝船不是木制船
判定边界
双方证据链未闭合（本轮），不是双方等真，也不是给视频主张背书。
视频原话摘要
不是木头船
- 领域
- shipbuilding
- 涉及对象
- 郑和宝船
- 声称年代
- 明代；永乐年间
- 话语角色
- 作者主张
证据连接
来源记录
SRCREF:R005-HMAIN-F5:SRC-F5-AAS-SIZESRCREF:R005-HMAIN-F5:SRC-F5-CHURCH-PLAUSIBILITYSRCREF:R005-HMAIN-F5:SRC-F5-NANJING-YARDSRCREF:R005-HMAIN-F5:SRC-F5-UNESCO-JUNKSRCREF:R005-HVIDEO-F5:S-F5-01SRCREF:R005-HVIDEO-F5:S-F5-02SRCREF:R005-HVIDEO-F5:S-F5-03SRCREF:R005-HVIDEO-F5:S-F5-10
待解问题
报告锚点：S05.5 · 研究 lane：F5_MARITIME_ASTRO
双轨条件矩阵
H_VIDEO 与 H_MAIN 独立列出必要条件、正向预测、反证条件、替代机制、形成链和协调伪造规模。
| 模型 | 条件类型 | 条件 | 评估 | 关联证据 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| H_VIDEO | necessary_condition | 须有船体不是木制的同时代材料证据；材料对象须与郑和宝船而非零件或辅助船对应 | input_limited | |
| H_VIDEO | positive_prediction | 船体残骸、木材排除分析或明确船体材料记录 | input_limited | |
| H_VIDEO | disconfirmer | 史料和船舶研究指向木船；仅发现铁件不等于非木船 | input_limited | |
| H_VIDEO | alternative_mechanism | 木船包铁；不同船型混称；后世钢船图像投射 | input_limited | |
| H_VIDEO | formation_chain | “不是木头”→船体材料→对象归属 | input_limited | |
| H_VIDEO | fabrication_or_coordination_scope | none;需对象归属，不需协调范围 | input_limited | |
| H_MAINSTREAM | necessary_condition | the negation must concern the relevant treasure-ship hull, not anchors/tools/replicas; material identification, date and provenance must be explicit; mixed wood-and-metal construction must be classified | mixed | |
| H_MAINSTREAM | positive_prediction | non-wood hull material should be found in a dated, fleet-attributable object or technical record | mixed | |
| H_MAINSTREAM | disconfirmer | wooden planks, wood joinery, wooden bulkhead tradition or timber hull evidence would contradict the absolute negation | input_limited | |
| H_MAINSTREAM | alternative_mechanism | metal fittings on a wood hull; later steel vessel; translation from “not merely ordinary wood” rather than “not wood” | input_limited | |
| H_MAINSTREAM | formation_chain | FC-F5-C03 | mixed | |
| H_MAINSTREAM | fabrication_or_coordination_scope | not_required_by_claim_logic | not_applicable_by_claim_logic |
推理桥梁
H_VIDEOotherinput_limited
材料能力→具体船体
H_MAINSTREAMtechnology_correspondenceinput_limited
vessel identity→hull material→date/provenance→absolute negation
审计字段与说明
- 终态方法
- dual_track_evidence
- 音频核验
- two_asr_surface_agreement
- 研究备注
- 冻结命题与矩阵终态逐 ID 对齐；非事实 lane 不转写为历史胜负。