全部主张 / 航海、天文与测量
刘大夏因认为造宝船劳民伤财而藏图纸
判定边界
双方证据链未闭合（本轮），不是双方等真，也不是给视频主张背书。
视频原话摘要
说劳民伤财
- 领域
- political_history
- 涉及对象
- 刘大夏；宝船图纸
- 声称年代
- 明朝中期
- 话语角色
- 作者主张
双轨条件矩阵
H_VIDEO 与 H_MAIN 独立列出必要条件、正向预测、反证条件、替代机制、形成链和协调伪造规模。
| 模型 | 条件类型 | 条件 | 评估 | 关联证据 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| H_VIDEO | necessary_condition | 须有同一近 contemporaneous record 给出“劳民伤财”作为刘大夏动机；动机须区别于后世道德化解释 | input_limited | |
| H_VIDEO | positive_prediction | 原始或早期文本出现行动与成本/民力理由的共同语境 | input_limited | |
| H_VIDEO | disconfirmer | 检索到的来源只支持档案对象争议或后世故事；无动机原文 | input_limited | |
| H_VIDEO | alternative_mechanism | 政治禁海；档案管理；后世以民力叙事补足动机 | input_limited | |
| H_VIDEO | formation_chain | 人物行动→动机语句→文本年代→传承 | input_limited | |
| H_VIDEO | fabrication_or_coordination_scope | none;动机必须有文本锚 | input_limited | |
| H_MAINSTREAM | necessary_condition | the action must be established first; a dated source must explicitly attribute the labor/fiscal motive to Liu and the same ship-plan documents; motive must not be inferred from general opposition to voyages | mixed | |
| H_MAINSTREAM | positive_prediction | a contemporary statement or close source should connect Liu's words, motive and document action | mixed | |
| H_MAINSTREAM | disconfirmer | ICM source criticism separates accounts and records the possibility that the files concerned Annam; later moralizing motive without action/document proof disconfirms the full chain | input_limited | |
| H_MAINSTREAM | alternative_mechanism | general fiscal opposition by other officials; Liu hid military records for anti-war reasons; later narrator supplied motive | input_limited | |
| H_MAINSTREAM | formation_chain | FC-F5-C08 | mixed | |
| H_MAINSTREAM | fabrication_or_coordination_scope | not_required_by_claim_logic | not_applicable_by_claim_logic |
推理桥梁
H_VIDEOotherinput_limited
藏档案→劳民伤财动机
H_MAINSTREAMcustody_or_provenanceinput_limited
Liu statement→motive attribution→document action→ship-plan identity
审计字段与说明
- 终态方法
- dual_track_evidence
- 音频核验
- two_asr_surface_agreement
- 研究备注
- 冻结命题与矩阵终态逐 ID 对齐；非事实 lane 不转写为历史胜负。