全部主张 / 航海、天文与测量
图纸被藏后，工匠无法再造出同样的宝船
判定边界
该标签只概括当前冻结输入；请结合下方来源局限和残留问题阅读。
视频原话摘要
藏完图纸工匠们就硬生生造不出来同样的船了
- 领域
- shipbuilding_history
- 涉及对象
- 明代工匠；宝船图纸
- 声称年代
- 明朝中期
- 话语角色
- 作者主张
证据连接
来源记录
SRCREF:R005-HMAIN-F5:SRC-F5-CHURCH-PLAUSIBILITYSRCREF:R005-HMAIN-F5:SRC-F5-ICM-LIUSRCREF:R005-HMAIN-F5:SRC-F5-VIKING-RECONSRCREF:R005-HVIDEO-F5:S-F5-02SRCREF:R005-HVIDEO-F5:S-F5-06SRCREF:R005-HVIDEO-F5:S-F5-07SRCREF:R005-HVIDEO-F5:S-F5-08SRCREF:R005-HVIDEO-F5:S-F5-09
待解问题
报告锚点：S05.5 · 研究 lane：F5_MARITIME_ASTRO
双轨条件矩阵
H_VIDEO 与 H_MAIN 独立列出必要条件、正向预测、反证条件、替代机制、形成链和协调伪造规模。
| 模型 | 条件类型 | 条件 | 评估 | 关联证据 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| H_VIDEO | necessary_condition | 须先证明图纸是复造该船的必要信息；还须排除工艺、材料、船厂、师徒知识等替代信息 | input_limited | |
| H_VIDEO | positive_prediction | 记录显示图纸消失后即有复造失败且时间/对象连续 | input_limited | |
| H_VIDEO | disconfirmer | 现存航海图、航海方向记录或船厂传统；没有同一船型复造试验 | input_limited | |
| H_VIDEO | alternative_mechanism | 技术损失来自人员/材料/制度/船厂变化；图纸只是部分信息 | input_limited | |
| H_VIDEO | formation_chain | 档案行动→图纸缺失→复造尝试→失败原因 | input_limited | |
| H_VIDEO | fabrication_or_coordination_scope | none;需因果链，不要求协调 | input_limited | |
| H_MAINSTREAM | necessary_condition | the plans must have been necessary rather than one input among tacit craft knowledge, surviving dimensions and models; a documented post-loss failed reconstruction must exist; same-vessel scale must be comparable | input_limited | |
| H_MAINSTREAM | positive_prediction | a dated record should link loss of plans to a specific failed build or show craftsmen explicitly lacked equivalent knowledge | input_limited | |
| H_MAINSTREAM | disconfirmer | records of craft practice, surviving hull measurements or later reconstruction without original plans would contradict a universal causal claim; missing evidence is only a bounded residual | input_limited | |
| H_MAINSTREAM | alternative_mechanism | oral/tacit shipbuilding; surviving molds/templates; standard yard practice; plan loss unrelated to build failure | input_limited | |
| H_MAINSTREAM | formation_chain | FC-F5-C09 | input_limited | |
| H_MAINSTREAM | fabrication_or_coordination_scope | not_required_by_claim_logic | not_applicable_by_claim_logic |
推理桥梁
H_VIDEOotherinput_limited
图纸缺失→工匠必然无法复造
H_MAINSTREAMotherinput_limited
plan loss→knowledge loss→failed reconstruction→same vessel
审计字段与说明
- 终态方法
- dual_track_evidence
- 音频核验
- two_asr_surface_agreement
- 研究备注
- 冻结命题与矩阵终态逐 ID 对齐；非事实 lane 不转写为历史胜负。