全部主张 / 航海、天文与测量
北美日偏食消息在当天传回北京
判定边界
双方证据链未闭合（本轮），不是双方等真，也不是给视频主张背书。
视频原话摘要
消息当天就传回北京了
- 领域
- communication_history
- 涉及对象
- 北京；北美；日偏食消息
- 声称年代
- 永乐十二年当天
- 话语角色
- 作者主张
证据连接
来源记录
SRCREF:R005-HMAIN-F5:SRC-F5-AAAS-ZHENGSRCREF:R005-HMAIN-F5:SRC-F5-MING-POSTALSRCREF:R005-HMAIN-F5:SRC-F5-NASA-ECLIPSESRCREF:R005-HMAIN-F5:SRC-F5-NASA-METHODSRCREF:R005-HVIDEO-F5:CALC-F5-C15SRCREF:R005-HVIDEO-F5:S-F5-13SRCREF:R005-HVIDEO-F5:S-F5-16SRCREF:R005-HVIDEO-F5:S-F5-17
待解问题
报告锚点：S05.5 · 研究 lane：F5_MARITIME_ASTRO
双轨条件矩阵
H_VIDEO 与 H_MAIN 独立列出必要条件、正向预测、反证条件、替代机制、形成链和协调伪造规模。
| 模型 | 条件类型 | 条件 | 评估 | 关联证据 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| H_VIDEO | necessary_condition | 须同时有北美观察者、编码、发送、跨洋路线、接力、北京收件和同一日定义；距离和速度须允许全部处理时间 | input_limited | |
| H_VIDEO | positive_prediction | 找到完整原始 dispatch/receipt chain；或给出可行的同步机制 | input_limited | |
| H_VIDEO | disconfirmer | 10000公里/24小时最低平均速率约416.7公里每小时，尚未计编码、派送、接收和裁决 | input_limited | |
| H_VIDEO | alternative_mechanism | 日期/地点误读；信使提前在京；后世叙事把不同日期拼接 | input_limited | |
| H_VIDEO | formation_chain | 事件→观察/编码→发送→接力→收件→皇帝得知 | input_limited | |
| H_VIDEO | fabrication_or_coordination_scope | requires_end_to_end_relay_chain;不得把缺失链条自动解释成伪造 | input_limited | |
| H_MAINSTREAM | necessary_condition | an observation must occur; an identifiable observer must dispatch a report; a physical/institutional relay must cover the route; dispatch and Beijing receipt must be same calendar day; date conversion must be fixed | input_limited | |
| H_MAINSTREAM | positive_prediction | a contemporaneous record should contain observation, dispatch, route, receipt and timestamp-linked court use | input_limited | |
| H_MAINSTREAM | disconfirmer | absence of any one dated link leaves the claim unsupported; known postal relays or ship routes do not by themselves establish trans-Pacific same-day transmission | input_limited | |
| H_MAINSTREAM | alternative_mechanism | relay couriers with staged observations; pre-arranged astronomical prediction; later report backdated to eclipse; supernatural or fictional mechanism | input_limited | |
| H_MAINSTREAM | formation_chain | FC-F5-C15 | input_limited | |
| H_MAINSTREAM | fabrication_or_coordination_scope | not_required_by_claim_logic | not_applicable_by_claim_logic |
推理桥梁
H_VIDEOotherinput_limited
天象发生→当天消息到北京
H_MAINSTREAMotherinput_limited
observation→dispatch→long-distance relay→Beijing receipt→same-day record
审计字段与说明
- 终态方法
- dual_track_evidence
- 音频核验
- two_asr_surface_agreement
- 研究备注
- 冻结命题与矩阵终态逐 ID 对齐；非事实 lane 不转写为历史胜负。